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Today’s strike and pension myths

The strike today has been called the “largest coordinated action ever seen in the UK” by the Public and Commercial Services Union (PCS). The unions claim nearly 3 million public sector staff are not at work today, but the paltry number of strikers outside government department buildings in Westminster this morning doesn’t quite give you that impression.

The strike is over pension reform, and the unions are refusing to accept necessary changes to unaffordable deals. Our response this morning is here, including a calculator which allows you to see the public sector salary required to match your total remuneration.

There are plenty of comment pieces out there this morning perpetuating myths about public sector pensions, so it’s important to knock a few of them on the head. Let’s take George Eaton’s piece in The New Statesman first:

“But as the graph below from the government-commissioned Hutton Report shows, public sector pension payments peaked at 1.9 per cent of GDP in 2010-11 and will gradually fall over the next fifty years to 1.4 per cent in 2059-60. The government’s plan to ask employees to work longer and pay more is a political choice, not an economic necessity.”

Here’s the graph Eaton references:

What Eaton’s piece doesn’t tell you is that this graph shows pension accruals and pensions-in-payment growing with CPI, rather than RPI, which is one of the measures the unions are so angry about. The projections shown in that chart are also the result of assumptions about public sector workforce and economic growth that may prove optimistic. The article also doesn’t tell you that the PCS, one of the unions on strike today, are looking to index their own pension scheme against CPI because their current scheme is unaffordable. They also want members to pay more more in contributions, according to reports. They’re striking against something they’re doing themselves.

Let’s take a look at another. Dave Prentis, the General Secretary of Unison, wrote on the Huffington Post this morning:

“Under the proposals, the low paid will receive only just enough to keep them above the threshold for means tested benefits when they do retire. The average pension in local government is £3,800 a year, but for women, it’s less than £2,800 – just £56 a week. More than half of women pensioners in the NHS receive a pension of less than £3,500 a year.”

If you worked in the public sector for a short amount of time, your total pension pot would be understandably small. But to add these pensions into an ‘average’ calculation is misleading. Look at the online calculators for the schemes themselves to get more informative results based on a career of work. A local government middle manager who retires on £60,000 a year can expect a pension of £30,000 a year. And the lower paid? A more junior worker at a council who retires on £25,000 a year can expect a pension of £12,500 a year. These are based on 30 year careers, too. You can add more to these figures if someone spends their entire working life in the public sector.

What about the NHS? A worker in the NHS who retires on £40,000 a year could expect a pension of £15,000 a year and a lump sum of £45,000, again based on a career of 30 years.

Mr Prentis also says:

“Both the health and local government schemes are in good shape, with billions more coming in than has to be paid out in pensions every year.”

Let’s take them in turn, the NHS pension scheme first. There was a cash surplus of around £2 billion last year. That includes huge employer contributions, which are taxpayer contributions of course. But anyway, this is not an indication of sustainability; the NHS surplus is a result of having a growing workforce. Those paying contributions to create the surplus are also building up pensions that will need to be paid in the future. Further, the surplus is returned to the Treasury, it’s not like this is a pension fund where they can realise increases in the value of that £2 billion to pay for future pensions. It just goes back to the Treasury’s general fund to spend on wasteful projects like High Speed Rail.

Additionally, this is the kind of warning sign our research note last week signalled – the NHS pension scheme has a lot more active members relative to ‘pensioners in payment’ than other schemes, but that will be changing rather quickly over the years. Overall the Treasury already had to top up unfunded schemes as a whole by a huge £4 billion last year, and that number is only getting bigger. Thinking the NHS pension scheme is fine now, so therefore it doesn’t need reform, is the kind thinking that got us to where we are now. It’s simply kicking the can down the road, and it’s disingenuous to pick the only unfunded scheme with so many more active members than pensioners to paint a picture of health for the wider public sector.

Now local government. Yes, it’s a funded scheme, with invested assets, and more coming in than paid out at present. Again, this includes massive employer contributions, which is taxpayers’ money to start with. Also, the argument that this scheme is “healthy” just defers any responsibility for paying off massive liabilities to future generations. Our paper on local government pension scheme deficits highlights how big this problem is, with over £50 billion more liabilities than assets in 2010. And it will get worse. Funded public sector schemes in countries like The Netherlands are not allowed to hold assets of less than 80 per cent of liabilities, but a quick glance at our paper shows that many local government schemes are nowhere near this. In fact, some have asset to liability ratios of less than 50 per cent. That’s not sustainable and will have to be paid off at some stage.

When you walk past a striker today, ask them if it’s fair that a worker on the minimum wage pays for generous public sector pensions, while being unable to even nearly afford a deal like that for himself. As I mentioned earlier, the unions’ own pension schemes are in trouble. You’d be forgiven for thinking that peddling misinformation and coordinating strikes is designed to boost their own membership and increase employee contributions, to fix their own broken schemes.

New report adds to growing calls to scrap High Speed 2

The Adam Smith Institute has released a report this morning on High Speed 2. What they think about the project is summed neatly by the title of the paper: High Speed Fail. It’s yet another voice added to a growing body that believes the project is flawed.

Alongside the TPA are groups like the Green Party, the Countryside Alliance and the RAC Foundation. Other think-tanks in Westminster like the Institute of Economic Affairs – and now the Adam Smith Institute – also have voiced their concerns. The Economist newspaper had a special editorial and feature on how the project won’t bring the benefits that it’s supposed to.

The groups are opposed to the scheme for different reasons, too. We have raised concerns about the business case, the job creation claims and the potential hidden costs of the scheme. The Green Party have questioned the environmental credentials of the project. The RAC Foundation feel that HS2 won’t do anything to ease congestion on existing roads, which are used by the majority of Britons to get to work in the morning. They also feel that HS2’s cost-benefit ratio is not as strong as other projects. The Countryside Alliance has concerns about the impact of installing a brand new line through the heart of the Countryside. And The Economist questions whether HS2 will correct regional disparities, as is claimed. Indeed, the newspaper believes they could be exacerbated.

Today’s report by the ASI worries that HS2 will be considered a Government liability by debt markets, at a time when Britain’s net interest payments are rapidly increasing. It also says that the chances of a worthwhile commercial return are slim. With this report, the ASI join those that have concluded that the Government has not put forward a persuasive case for the project at all. It should be scrapped at the next available opportunity.

Public Accounts Committee says that the NHS must make better use of machines

Improving technology in healthcare can save lives. The latest machines can catch illnesses earlier and can administer more effective treatments than ever. Julia Manning of 2020 Health wrote on Friday that a heart clinic in Southampton monitors pacemakers remotely so patients don’t have to travel to hospital for check-ups and diabetes patients being warned by a text to their mobile phones if they have abnormal readings of blood pressure and blood sugar levels. This improves and simplifies the lives of patients, while easing the pressure on budgets.

My paper Wasting Lives argued that technology – along with improving lifestyles – can be bigger drivers of healthcare improvement than simply spending more money on existing systems.

So it’s crucial that the procurement of capital equipment in the NHS is cost-effective and the assets are used to their fullest potential. Unfortunately, this is not the case. The Public Accounts Committee has today published a report criticising the approach to hospital equipment usage. Margaret Hodge, the PAC chair, said that the variation in the frequency machines are used across Trusts is ‘unacceptable’.

In 2009, we analysed the usage of five machines – Linacs, MRI scanners, Lithotripters, PET scanners and CT scanners – and found that it varied greatly between Trusts. For those Trusts that were below average use, bringing them up to standard would have meant more scans; over 650,000 more CT scans, for example, which is the same as having 88 additional scanners in the system.

The National Audit Office confirmed these findings in March 2011, in its report on managing capital equipment in the NHS. It found wide variations in utilisation rates of scanning machines. This means that NHS trusts are unable to compare the efficiency of machine usage with other trusts – the report says there is no repository of data to do so.

Our paper was the first to gather these numbers in a meaningful way but it’s important that this data is made available every year so that Trusts can benchmark against each other. They shouldn’t be afraid to copy the good ideas of other Trusts. Why, for example, don’t they offer scans outside of working hours, even past midnight? Perhaps they could even incentivise having scans out of hours by offering two options – a normal scan date and an earlier one for using the machine when it’s in less demand?

I spoke at the National Biomedical and Clinical Engineering Conference a couple of weeks ago and it was just these types of topics that were discussed. Can Trusts deliver quality healthcare and save money? I argued that they absolutely can – by sweating their assets to ensure they were getting maximum value from them, and looking at areas in the current budget for necessary cut backs. Our research showed that the NHS compares badly with European peers on keeping people alive with timely and effective healthcare for treatable illnesses and conditions. Technology will help but that means reforming the healthcare system so we don’t keep spending money on out-dated processes and procedures.

Yet another blunder by HMRC means over a million face an unwelcome bill

This weekend, you may get an unwelcome letter on your doormat from the taxman. Thanks to yet another blunder over a million taxpayers will have to pay back an average of £600 each, including 150,000 pensioners. Excessive taxes, rising utility bills and excessive fuel duty are already hitting families hard, so the last thing they need is for HMRC to demand cash from them – particularly when it’s HMRC that made the blunder in the first place.

Unfortunately, this seems all too familiar. Just over a year ago an almost identical error occurred, affecting a similar number of taxpayers. The Public Accounts Committee also took HMRC to task, saying that they had caused “unacceptable uncertainty and inconvenience to the taxpayer.” Since then, many have appealed demands for repayment. Incredibly, according to reports, some appeals have been turned down because taxpayers ‘should have picked up’ on the errors.  With just under 70,000 staff – the same as the population of Doncaster – you’d have thought that sorting these things out was the job of this army of bureaucrats.

Why can’t HMRC get it right? Is it incompetent staff? Is it down to bad Government IT? The real answer is that the hideously complicated and labyrinthine tax system means that administering it is costly for taxpayers. And three times over too: once in the high taxes they pay as a result; twice in the even higher taxes to pay for enough staff to cope with it; and thrice in response to letters from the taxman asking them to cough up again. It’s simply not good enough, and minor tweaks to the tax system will not remedy these ills. We need significant tax reform that drastically simplifies the system and reduces the burden on ordinary families and everyday businesses. Look out for the report of the 2020 Tax Commission in the new year, which is working out the steps to get us there.

Sign the e-petition on Empty Property Rates

Back in April the TPA released a briefing note on Empty Property Rates. Since April, nearly all businesses have to pay full business rates on an empty commercial property just three months after it becomes vacant, and six months later for an industrial property.

As reported in yesterday’s Financial Times (£) The British Chambers of Commerce has written a letter to the Chancellor saying that the tax could have “perverse consequences” and that reversing it will help business confidence.

Originally, Business Rates were waived for three months and charged at 50 per cent thereafter. Industrial properties were fully exempt.

In the 2007 Budget the then Chancellor Gordon Brown announced this was to be scrapped as part of the Rating (Empty Properties) Act 2007. Non-industrial property would be exempt from business rates for three months and industrial property for six months. After that time business owners returned to paying full rates.

However, during the economic crisis the Chancellor (Alistair Darling) announced a brief respite for some ratepayers from the new legislation in the 2008 Pre-Budget Report. Properties under a Rateable Value of £15,000 would be exempt for the 2009-10 financial year. This was extended for the 2010-11 financial year and the threshold was lifted to £18,000, intended to help small businesses during the downturn.

But since April 2011, the Rating (Empty Properties) Act 2007 applies for properties over a Rateable Value of £2,600.

There is an e-petition on the Government website that wants the rateable value to return to £18,000. It was started by the Business Centre Association and is backed by many groups, including us here at the TPA. You can sign the petition here.

It’s important to let the Government know that they won’t help the recovery or drive growth by taxing business failure. They need to reduce the burden so that businesses and entrepreneurs can find their feet again as quickly as possible. As well as killing business confidence, there’s a real risk landlords will simply demolish properties as the rates are too stringent, which depletes the overall capital stock.  On top of all that, small commercial units are often a means of income for retired people who don’t have savings or a pension, and this tax are choking that off too.

Many members of the Government aggressively fought against this policy in opposition – it was called “wicked and ungodly” at one point – and they should regain some of that zeal and announce a reversal in the Autumn.

Sign the petition and help push for this change.

The Economist newspaper comes out against High Speed Rail

We’ve said it before, and we’ll say it again: the Government must scrap its ludicrous and expensive High Speed Rail project. But it’s not just us: a broad spectrum of others have joined our call, from the Green Party to the RAC Foundation. And this morning, The Economist newspaper joined the ranks. They have a special editorial and feature this week outlining why they believe the project is horribly flawed.

More of a problem for everyday commuters?

Their main feature focuses on the supposed regional regeneration that HS2 will bring. The Government argue that it will close the North-South divide, but The Economist is less sure; in fact they argue that it could exacerbate regional disparities. They cite evidence from France where more businesses have relocated to Paris after the high speed line to Lyon was built. Similarly in Spain, Madrid has benefited at the expense of Seville, while in Japan, Tokyo still grows faster than Osaka.

So The Economist and others think that a big Government-led scheme to close regional disparities won’t work – who’d've thunk it? Regional Development Agencies helped exacerbate regional disparities and this big shiny Government project runs a real risk of doing the same.

So let’s see what’s been destroyed so far: the business case; the job-creation case; and capacity claims. Now the regional regeneration claims have come under serious fire. The Government is fast running out of credibility on this issue. HS2 is not a good project at the wrong time, it’s just a bad project. Scrap it.

Competition and choice benefit patients, but PCTs actively block it

Two important stories on competition in healthcare have been reported today. The first is that research from the Centre of Economic Performance at the London School of Economics shows that competition in the NHS, introduced under the last Government, is increasing the quality of healthcare.

The authors of the report looked at data for 433,325 patients who had heart attacks between 2002 and 2008. This time period covers the time before and fixed-price competition was introduced. The scope of the study was broad too, with data from 227 English hospitals analysed. Death rates dropped by 7 per cent under fixed-price competition, and fell quicker in “more competitive markets”.  The key finding is that there were 300 less deaths from heart attacks a year after the reforms were introduced in 2006. They added the rates would be significantly higher if other ailments were taken into consideration.

Dr Cooper, one of the team that carried out the study, puts it succinctly:

Incentives cannot be a dirty word in the NHS. Creating financial incentives can save the NHS money and improve clinical quality. We find that competition between hospitals in a market with fixed prices led to very strong improvements in patient outcomes. Going forward, if the NHS is going to be successful, it can’t shy away from competition. This research isn’t about public versus private; it’s about illustrating that financial incentives can have a profound impact on hospital performance.

On the same day, I read in the Financial Times (£) that PCTs have been deliberately limiting patients’ choice of where they receive their healthcare. Around 40 per cent of patients now choose not to go their local NHS hospital so this is affects a significant number of people. Tactics include setting minimum waiting times before patients are treated; telling GPs where to send patients; and using referral management centres – providing a second opinion on a GP’s diagnosis and directing patients elsewhere.

This is indicative of the attitudes prevalent in the NHS. Despite evidence showing that competition and patient choice work, existing institutions and comfortable incumbent bureaucrats are working hard to ensure that patients do exactly what they tell them to.

Scare-mongering about privatisation is stifling a very urgent debate about the benefits of competition in healthcare provision. It’s time to put patients first.

Even if businesses and entrepreneurs don’t move abroad, they may simply do less

Yesterday’s City AM reported that over a quarter of large businesses are considering moving abroad, with most citing Britain’s high and complex taxes as the biggest reason. It would be disastrous if any of these companies follow through on that. Jobs would disappear and growth would be affected. The tax system – and especially punitive, political measures like the 50p rate – could drive individuals overseas too.

But that’s not the full story. Those that do decide to stay here may simply choose to do less. Uncertainty might force businesses to make more cautious decisions, when they may have otherwise taken decisions that created jobs in a more stable tax system.

All this is explained very well by Gregory Mankiw, a professor of economics at Harvard. In this article for the New York Times he gives a very simple and clear explanation why higher taxes will mean he might work less. The people who miss out are those that would have otherwise enjoyed or used the goods and services he would have produced.

When we talk about businesses or entrepreneurs moving abroad because of taxes, some say that these are non-stories, as it doesn’t really happen. City AM’s piece show that’s a real threat though. And what’s certainly true though is that even if they do stay, their decisions are distorted by the tax system. They may simply do less.

Public sector organisations should publish lists of websites visited by staff on taxpayers’ time

Yesterday, the Sunday Express reported on our Freedom of Information request about Departmental internet usage. We asked each Government Department to send us a list of websites their staff had visited, in order of frequency, and the amount of time spent on these sites. We also asked for details of disciplinary procedures linked to internet usage. The only Department that provided the information was the Department for Work and Pensions. They provided a Monthly list of the top 100 websites visited, in order of frequency. It didn’t quite fulfil our response, but they at least were able to easily obtain this information from their internet provider.

No other department could answer the main part of this request – what websites, in order of frequency visited, have staff been logging on to. That’s pretty damning. It should be relatively straightforward to hold this information centrally, or do as DWP did and ask their internet provider for a list.

As outlined in the Sunday Express report, DWP staff spent a lot of time on shopping websites. There were also lots of visits to nationalrail.co.uk and numerous holiday websites. Perhaps the civil servants were more keen on getting away then getting on with work.

Staff time is the biggest item of expenditure for most public sector organisations, so it’s crucial that time at work is spent productively to give taxpayers value for money.

We feel that each Department – and eventually all public sector bodies – should publish this kind of information as a matter of course. It’s simply not good enough that no other Department aside from DWP could get this information. How do they know whether their staff are focussed on the job?

Have a look through DWP’s response below and see what websites staff are visiting on taxpayers’ time.

Click here to download

Britain has a worse tax system than key competitors, says poll

The Times has today published (£) the results of a poll by Populus, outlining the public’s perception of the UK’s tax system and other factors contributing to growth like education and skills. The poll looked at key competitors: Britain, the US, France, Germany, India and China. Out of these six, Britain didn’t rank well at all, coming dead last on tax questions:

Personal taxation: 6th
Taxes on wealth creation: 6th
Infrastructure: 4th
Skills level of workforce: 4th
Education system: 3rd
Place to set up and run a business: 4th

We’ve highlighted how horribly complicated and burdensome the tax system has become. There is plenty of research out there showing that high taxes stunt growth and choke off entrepreneurship. The 2020 Tax Commission is working on a major report with a plan to simplify the tax system.

And this poll adds weight to such research, because people’s opinions and perceptions matter. If a potential entrepreneur was among those polled, then there’s a good chance that they don’t think Britain is a good place to start up a business. A small businessman might not think it worth expanding. A CEO of a large company might consider relocating, taking jobs with him or her. The tax system in its current form will hinder any plan for growth.

This video shows how the tax code puts a Guinness World Record holder for speed reading to shame:

A Ben Nevis of mail

An article in this week’s Sunday Times (not available online)  nicely captured how complex the tax system is. The paper enquired about how long it takes for staff to respond to mail from taxpayers; the outcome shouldn’t be surprising for those who have had to sit and wait for HMRC to get back to them. Staff told journalists that letters received at the start of this week may not be acted on until August. Letters they have outstanding stand taller than Ben Nevis.

I can answer this one, the rest are too complicated

Of course, this can cost individuals and small businesses money while they await the outcomes of their enquiries, appeals, or whatever the case may be. Not only that, it can cause quite a lot of stress, too.

The HMRC rep for the Public Commercial Services Union said the problems are down to HMRC not having enough staff. I’d say that the bewildering tax system is actually to blame. If we had a drastically simpler tax system then taxpayers and businesses would not have to write so many letters. Stories about HMRC over or underpaying taxpayers are all too common and they are apparently due to computer systems, not staff. The tax code is far too long. Simplify the system, cut out the mistakes and stop the letters. Make it easy for individuals and businesses to understand what they are paying, and how much. We need a simpler tax system, hopefully the 2020 Tax Commission the TaxPayers’ Alliance is running with the Institute of Directors can get us there.

See this video to find out how absurdly complicated the tax system has become

Debt and Deficit confused in the mainstream media yet again

Zoe Williams writes in this morning’s Guardian about Canada’s fiscal consolidation of the 1990s. She believes that we should not learn lessons from their experience, as we are in a very different situation. In our book How to Cut Public Spending, we devoted a substantive section to why there are very important lessons to learn from Canada. But fair enough, debates to be had and all that.

Until Ms Williams says this:

“To edge back a step, our deficit was nothing like Canada’s either. Theirs had been rising steadily since 1974, and had got to 70% of GDP. Ours was 30% before the financial crash, a figure that is manageable, almost respectable.”

It’s very difficult to engage in genuine debate about how to tackle the deficit if one side of the argument constantly confuse it with debt. Influential journalist Johann Hari did the same a little while back on his blog and in an article for GQ. He quietly corrected the mistake, but even then Matthew Sinclair still comprehensively deconstructed his argument.

The headline of today’s Guardian piece includes the line “Let’s start denying this deficit properly”. Denying a deficit of the size we have now is frightening. By implication, the author wishes to deny a deficit of 70 per cent of GDP, which is… well, what’s a stronger word than frightening?

To be fair, this glaring error has been corrected on The Guardian’s website. It has, however, run in the print edition, meaning the piece misinforms a lot of readers. But let’s accept a mistake was made, and the correction stands. A quick look at the Budget 2011 document shows us that even if the author meant debt, ours will be 69.7 per cent of GDP next year. Around the size Ms. Williams says Canada’s was before their fiscal consolidation. Our problems cannot be blamed solely on bailing out the banks either, though we should be trying to get our money back. Spending was racked up to unsustainable levels and whoever won the last General Election would be taking action to cut back.

The TPA has a clear view on the course of action needed to cure our fiscal woes. We’ve produced countless research papers and notes on what the problems are and how we can solve them. We’re also willing to engage in robust debate on the issue. That’s difficult when arguments on the other side are littered with mistakes like these.

DCLG release more spending data

The Department for Communities and Local Government released yet more spending data yesterday. They have produced spreadsheets, tables and heat-maps showing how much councils spend per person, and we’d encourage taxpayers to delve into these numbers and find out if they are getting value for money.

Are neighbouring councils delivering better services for less council tax? Why is this? What can your council do to improve service delivery, and can they look to neighbouring authorities for advice and best practice? These are the sorts of questions that taxpayers – and councils themselves – should be asking, and data releases like DCLG’s will facilitate that. There’s a lesson here for other government departments too. When spending decisions are being made and priorities are being reassessed, more information can make it a far less bumpy ride.

Where is the localism?

On Wednesday the TaxPayers’ Alliance published its one year assessment of the Coalition’s performance measured against our Manifesto objectives. One of the objectives was to introduce elected police commissioners. The Police Reform and Social Responsibility Bill was quietly making its way through Parliament, so we scored this objective 5/5. But last night the measure was overturned in the Lords meaning it makes its way back to the House of Commons, and suggests we should re-think our score.

It’s hugely disappointing and a setback for a great policy. Police Authorities, as they are currently constructed, are not democratically accountable, save for some notional accountability through the presence of elected councillors. They tend to react inwardly to protect their Chief Constables rather than properly engage outwardly with taxpayers. In fact, their attempts at connecting with the public are misguided and often waste money too, as our report on Local Policing Summaries showed.

Just not for your local Police Commissioner

Dissenting Lords have instead voted for an amendment proposing that local police leaders should be chosen by a panel. A panel choosing a Police Commissioner does nothing to give genuine power back to local people to decide on their policing priorities. It’s simply more bureaucracy and elitism, demonstrating distrust of – and disdain for – local residents. Where is the Government’s localist agenda? It’s something that both parties of the Coalition are keen to ham up in speeches, but it’s not reflected in last night’s vote.

Although perhaps it shouldn’t be so surprising. All parties have form for talking local, but acting central. Local politicians from the Lib Dems and Labour – whose Peers put the kybosh on the Bill – often put up vehement opposition to deconstructing Local Education Authorities and their legacy structures, in their attempts to stop schools becoming truly independent. The Conservatives seem loath to debate genuine fiscal decentralisation, which would add proper accountability to notional power.

It would be tempting to say last night’s vote was about a flex of muscles, to show that the Lib Dems have the power to block policy they don’t like. Whether that’s true or not, petty party politics shouldn’t get in the way of something that would mean residents finally get a say in the priorities for their local police force. And it’s important to remember that not only was this proposal was part of the Coalition Agreement, direct elections for Commissioners or Authorities was in both parties’ election manifestos. At present local forces spend lots of money and time coming up with ways to try and engage and connect with their communities. But 188 Lords have just voted down the one real way to do that: through genuine accountability. Let’s hope that the Government show perseverance and that the Bill is not watered down before it is sent back to the Lords.

New research: Corporation Tax Policy Brief

Corporation Tax is not fit for purpose. This new Briefing Note for the 2020 Tax Commission, written by Commissioner and Associate Professor of Economics at the ESCP Europe Business School Anthony J. Evans, measures the tax against four key criteria, and finds that it drives down wages; lowers returns for shareholders; and raises prices for consumers. In fact, studies have found that found that an increase in Corporation Tax of 1 per cent can lead to a fall in annual gross wages of 0.52 percent. If applied to the median wage in the UK (£21,221), that would mean an extra £552 a year for workers could result from the 5 per cent Corporation Tax cut planned.  That finding was reported this morning in the Sun.

The Chancellor announced a welcome cut in Corporation Tax at the Budget in March 2011. Over the next Parliament, the headline rate will drop to 23 per cent, the lowest in the G7. But the effective rate on new investment in the UK – the real rates faced by firms and passed on to individuals – is currently 27.9 per cent, compared to an OECD average of 18.6 per cent. Reducing the headline is a good signal to businesses, but more needs to be done to lower the effective rate.

Matthew Sinclair, Director of the TaxPayers’ Alliance, said:

“Companies don’t pay taxes, people do, whether that means shareholders like pension funds or workers who get lower wages. High corporate taxes are such an economic disaster that cutting them significantly can leave ordinary workers hundreds of pounds a year better off and ultimately even produce more of a return for the public purse. The Government are right to see this as a real priority, and could be even more aggressive to cut taxes so everyone can see a light at the end of the tunnel after years of depressing economic news.”

Budget day

Anthony J. Evans, a 2020 Tax Commissioner, blogged yesterday for the Spectator Coffee House site about some principles that should guide the Chancellor while he announces his Budget this afternoon. Our Director Matthew Sinclair also offered his thoughts to the ConservativeHome website this morning. This morning’s newspapers carry mostly positive headlines about today’s announcement, which should please the Treasury. But we won’t know the full details until around 1.30 this afternoon, and the TPA will be watching just as closely for any nasties in the Red Book.

Matthew Sinclair and Ruth Lea will be live blogging their reactions during the speech on the Wall Street Journal Europe website, which you can watch here. Also, 2020 Tax Commissioner Anthony J. Evans will be blogging live for Reuters, so there will be plenty of expert opinion to tune in to while Osborne delivers the Budget. Look out for more TPA reaction here on the homepage after the announcement, too.

Budget whispers

Jo Johnson writes in today’s Financial Times (£) about the disaster of high taxes in the United Kingdom. He points to a KPMG survey that showed the UK has the 4th highest top rate of income tax of 86 countries – beaten only by Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands. Johnson also mentions a World Economic Global Competitiveness Report – which looks at the tax system to assess incentives to work and invest – that placed the UK 95th out of 135 countries. Our tax system hinders competitiveness.

Interestingly, he notes that Sir Nicholas Macpherson, permanent secretary to the Treasury, disclosed that 63,000 out of 275,000 taxpayers liable for the top rate work in “financial intermediation” in a letter to the Public Accounts Committee. Many of the others, Johnson notes, are entrepreneurs we need to create jobs and help drive the recovery. Unsurprisingly, numbers from the Treasury finally confirm the tax politically deployed to sate public anger of ‘bankers’ is misguided.

Benedict Brogan at the Telegraph notes that George Osborne might “put down a marker” on the 50p rate at the Budget next week. It should make for interesting viewing.

How to declare war on the enemies of enterprise: declare war on shopkeepers, apparently

Today is national No Smoking Day, and to celebrate Andrew Lansley has announced plans to hide cigarettes away under shopkeepers’ counters. A consultation will also be launched on plain packaging. The Prime Minister said only a few days ago that he wanted to ‘declare war on the enemies of enterprise’, but his Government has declared war on shopkeepers. Matthew Sinclair, Director of the TaxPayers’ Alliance, co-signed a letter to the Telegraph along with other think-tank leaders this morning to voice their disapproval with the plans:

Enemies of enterprise seek controls on tobacco

SIR – Today, smokers are asked to observe No Smoking Day. They may also finally get to hear Government proposals that could ban the display of tobacco products in retail outlets, and only allow tobacco to be sold in plain, state-prescribed packaging.

If the Coalition is committed to defeating the enemies of enterprise, as David Cameron, the Prime Minister, claims, a good start would be to call a halt to the relentless campaign to “denormalise” smoking through an endless barrage of new controls, directives and diktats.

Mr Cameron claimed last weekend that he would wage war on bureaucrats who concoct ridiculous rules and regulations. Banning the branding of tobacco products or making cigarettes an under-the-counter product would be yet another victory for these very bureaucrats. Life would become more difficult for newsagents and tobacconists and easier for the providers of illicit tobacco to pass off their wares as legitimate.

We cannot yet be sure about whether the Prime Minister’s commitment to combating regulation and red tape is truly serious. If his Government now unveils proposals to further restrict the sale and purchase of tobacco, it will be a clear sign that his new commitment to enterprise is little more than political rhetoric.

Patrick Basham
Director, Democracy Institute
Dr Eamonn Butler
Director, Adam Smith Institute
Donna Edmunds
Director of Research, Progressive Vision
Dr Helen Evans
Director, Nurses for Reform
Dr Tim Evans
Chairman, Economic Policy Centre
Daniel Hamilton
Director, Big Brother Watch
Angela Harbutt
Executive Director, Liberal Vision
Tim Knox
Acting Director, Centre for Policy Studies
Mark Littlewood
Director General, Institute of Economic Affairs
Matthew Sinclair
Director, The TaxPayers’ Alliance
Simon Richards
Director, The Freedom Association

OTS release final report on review of tax reliefs

Today the Office of Tax Simplification (OTS) released its final report after a review of tax reliefs. George Osborne set up this unit to tackle the “spaghetti-bowl” our tax system has become, and their report follows a release in November which listed a staggering 1,042 reliefs. In fact, that list was so large that the today’s report only attempted to tackle 155 of them. The system is so complex that the authors found that they couldn’t look at many reliefs in isolation as they had to be considered in the context of the policy rationale framing them. The long and short of this is we can’t simply take a hatchet to the long list of reliefs. Complexity begets complexity, unfortunately.

Five key themes emerged from the OTS’s latest work: merging income tax and NIC; employee benefits and expenses; inheritance tax and trusts; capital gains tax; environmental taxes. The report admits that they need further review, but in their work they found that ideas like merging PAYE and NIC were very popular. It’ll be interesting to see what their subsequent studies find. Today’s report does outline some reliefs in those areas that should be abolished. One is daily relief for the first 15p of Luncheon Vouchers – introduced in 1946 at the time of rationing. Another is tax relief for trade union subscriptions that are used to pay for superannuation, death benefits or funeral expenses – which the OTS see as obsolete because pension arrangements now do that job.

These two reliefs are seen as outdated – but I did notice one that has simply expired; and some time ago too. Relief for Millennium gift aid, intended to encourage charitable giving in the run up to the year 2000, still exists. There have been annual Finance Bills since then but this has remained on the statute books the whole time; presumably Treasury ministers and civil servants have been too busy adding to the tax code rather than looking for ways to cut it back.

It’s certainly a monumental task to simplify the UK’s tax system. The work of the OTS is detailed and expansive in its scope, and very welcome too. Annual Finance Bills rack up new and more complex ways to increase the tax burden, adding thousands of pages to our tax code. Policy agendas and pet projects mean that endless loopholes and reliefs are put in place to make the tax system “fairer”, but of course the irony is that the better-off can pay expensive accountants to utilise them, so complicated reliefs are part of the problem. The favourable effective tax rates large companies enjoy over small ones reported yesterday (£) is an example of this, and lead to calls for big business to pay more tax, despite the same report finding that 81 per cent of all corporation tax is paid by the biggest 1 per cent of companies.  What is actually needed is reform to ensure all businesses pay fair, low taxes.

The system’s a complete mess and the 2020 Tax Commission will work throughout the year looking at ways to simplify it. It’s encouraging that the Treasury seems willing to do this too but the OTS are focussed on minor changes at the edges of the tax system, the 2020 Tax Commission is getting to the core of the issue and thinking about much more fundamental changes.

TPA welcomes crackdown on council newspapers and lobbyists

A couple of weeks ago, we blogged about councils looking to pass the buck for necessary spending reductions. Lambeth council put posters up carrying the slogan “The Government has cut our money, so we are forced to cut services”. Today, Communities Secretary Eric Pickles came out strongly against such overtly political ads, calling them a “blatant misuse of public funds”. And they absolutely are; Lambeth’s poster cost them £600, plus lost revenue of not renting the advertising space.

DCLG also announced crackdowns on council newspapers and lobbyists. This is more good news – council newspapers provide direct competition to local media, affecting genuine scrutiny and accountability of the local authority. Plus they cost taxpayers money; they’re easy fat to trim.

Taxpayer funded lobbying is a particularly egregious practice, and we would like to see a complete end to this practice. Taxpayers pay for government to lobby government for more money, and pay handsomely too, as our research paper last year showed.

On today’s news, TPA Director Matthew Sinclair said:

“Councils claiming that they need to cut frontline service would have more credibility if they weren’t wasting money so extravagantly.  Council newspapers that are an exercise in propaganda rather than honest journalism are a particularly awful example of town hall waste.  The posters in Lambeth are a disgrace, and reflect a local authority that is more interested in making political excuses than working to deliver greater value for taxpayers’ money, which other London boroughs have shown is very possible.  Councils should work to cut spending on bloated bureaucracies, not lazily try to throw blame around as a decade of profligacy comes to a painful end.”

A couple of weeks ago, we blogged about councils looking to pass the buck for necessary spending reductions. Lambeth council put posters up carrying the slogan “The Government has cut our money, so we are forced to cut services”. Today, Communities Secretary Eric Pickles came out strongly against such overtly political ads, calling them a “blatant misuse of public funds”. And they absolutely are; Lambeth’s poster cost them £600, plus lost revenue of not renting the advertising space.

DCLG also announced crackdowns on council newspapers and lobbyists. This is more good news – council newspapers provide direct competition to local media, affecting genuine scrutiny and accountability of the local authority. Plus they cost taxpayers money; they’re easy fat to trim.

Taxpayer funded lobbying is a particularly egregious practice, and we would like to see a complete end to this practice. Taxpayers pay for government to lobby government for more money, and pay handsomely too, as our research paper last year showed.

On today’s news, TPA Director Matthew Sinclair said:

“Councils claiming that they need to cut frontline service would have more credibility if they weren’t wasting money so extravagantly.  Council newspapers that are an exercise in propaganda rather than honest journalism are a particularly awful example of town hall waste.  The posters in Lambeth are a disgrace, and reflect a local authority that is more interested in making political excuses than working to deliver greater value for taxpayers’ money, which other London boroughs have shown is very possible.  Councils should work to cut spending on bloated bureaucracies, not lazily try to throw blame around as a decade of profligacy comes to a painful end.”

There is room for tax cuts

Last week, there were suggestions that George Osborne was preparing the ground for tax cuts in March’s budget. David Cameron put paid to that yesterday in an interview in the Sunday Telegraph:

“when you’re borrowing 11% of your GDP, it’s not possible to make significant net tax cuts. It just isn’t. It’s no good saying we’re going to deal with the deficit by cutting spending, but then we’re going to make things worse again by cutting taxes. I’m afraid it doesn’t add up.”

So no joy, then. A VAT hike, fuel duty increases and 750,000 taxpayers being pulled into the higher rate tax band mean that the cost of living for millions of families is sky-high, and getting higher. Many areas of spending are being increased; the Department for International Development’s budget will be increased by £3.7 billion by the end of the Parliament. The bonfire of the quangos mysteriously morphed from a cost cutting exercise into an accountability measure, so there is plenty of fat left to trim in that sector. Huge and wildly expensive projects like High Speed Rail have been proposed with flawed business cases. More can be done to cut back spending meaning, as Matthew Sinclair pointed out on The Daily Politics last week, there absolutely are opportunities to make welcome tax cuts to reduce the burden on taxpayers:

Calculations from the Centre of Economics and Business Research suggest that the 50p rate will lose money yet it’s being kept for political expediency. The media last week pitched scrapping the 50p rate against raising the lower threshold as a direct choice, one or the other, rich or poor. But if the 50p rate loses the Treasury money and they want to plug the gap, how will it do this? Ordinary families will be taxed more. The Government seems to be reluctant to articulate coherent arguments against the 50p rate, in case they are rounded on by the media, unions and a whole host of interest groups as friends of the rich. But if they told families across Britain that the 50p rate would lose money, and they’d be paying more tax just to have it, then taxpayers might think twice.

Without the Government presenting any dynamic analysis, these kinds of dichotomies presented by the media will continue to hinder debate. We’d love to see the lower threshold significantly increased; we’ve consistently called for it and it’s part of our Manifesto. Reducing the tax burden on low income families – and in some cases taking people out of tax altogether – will also increase the incentive to work. But to mitigate for this, the IFS say that a further 850,000 people would be brought into the higher rate bracket by 2015–16 if the government manages to achieve a £10,000 allowance by then. Most of these people will not be rich by any means, but their cost of living will go up, especially if the VAT increase is maintained, air passenger duty is increased and fuel duty remains obscenely high. In our report on entrepreneurship we set out how high the combined marginal tax rates on income earned, saved, invested in a company and passed on to children is: as high as 92 per cent with the new 50p top tax rate. The big rewards that make entrepreneurship, and the associated risks, worthwhile are hit particularly hard by the tax system. Small businesses tend to create the most new jobs too. But all the public are presented with is two stark but wholly misleading choices: tax the rich or tax the poor.

In the Government’s defence, the current system is a complete mess. If you started from scratch, not a single person would concoct what we have now. It’s a system that has evolved and developed, being added to annually with Finance Acts. No one planned this to be the finishing point of the tax system, and it’s certainly not the path to a simpler one. This makes governments’ decisions going in to Budgets fiendishly difficult, and worse, it makes tax decisions political and not economic, helping certain groups or raising revenue depending on what is politically sell-able. It’s the same this year: George Osborne has a false choice of taxing the rich or taxing the poor.

The system can’t be fixed in a day, and that’s why the 2020 Tax Commission will be working hard throughout the year to work out what the solution could be.

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