Very few businesses could survive a lockdown of the type we’re currently in for six months. A sustained one will have to be more focused.
His message, that the Conservatives will win if the electoral battle is on identity politics and culture wars, is correct.
The results of an opinion poll organized by Liverpool University and Britain’s Economic and Social Research have been published this week. The poll, carried out by Social Market Research, showed 29% of voters would vote for a united Ireland, with 52% against and 19% indicating that they don’t know or wouldn’t vote. Polling on Irish unity over the last couple of years has painted a confusing picture. A poll commissioned by Lord Ashcroft last year was the first to show … Read more
Many of those Londoners who self identify as being on the Left also back key Conservative policies.
The trust factor is simply less relevant, because fewer people are accessing the Corporation’s output in the first place.
Driving public investment in housing towards the South East is surely not sustainable for a Government committed to rebalancing the economy.
It is only human to grasp at the most comforting explanations that come to hand. But the truth may be harder for Corbynites to swallow.
The result will probably offer some respite to an industry which has previously come in for a lot of flak from certain quarters for misrepresenting the state of the race.
Men chose the Conservatives over Labour by a 19-point margin (48 per cent to 29 per cent), while women did so by just six points.
The Welsh Political Barometer, for example, forecasts a great night for the Conservatives. They can’t both be right.
The latest polls clarify the choice: either Johnson gets it done, or a Corbyn-led government blocks it. A vote for Farage is a vote for the latter.
All in all, a Conservative win is still the most likely result. But if the YouGov MRP, the Ashcroft dashboard and other polls are accurate, it is less likely than it was.
My research suggests that parties of the centre-right should be cautious about mistaking transactional voter support for deeper allegiance.
“Double-standards apply,” she says when asked about approval ratings and whether she is a victim of sexism.
The Brexit Party will win 13-14% of the vote in Thursday’s election despite what the opinion polls say, he predicts.
With so many disillusioned with politicians of all parties the role of self-defeating expectations comes into play.
I’ve been nervous after last time – but here goes. Plus: Farage is having a dreadful campaign. And why election night TV will never be the same again.
The visit has the potential to be an electoral gift to an increasingly desperate Labour Party. For Downing Street, a successful trip by the President will be one that causes as few political headlines as possible.
But my latest 4,000-sample poll, conducted between Friday and Monday, finds little change in the overall picture,
At the last election strong early poll leads seduced them into shifting resources from marginals into far more hostile territory, with disastrous results.
Their MRP projection has the Scottish Nationalists picking up several seats, often by narrow margins, which would surprise those on the ground.
We say again that there is a danger of Conservative expectations getting ahead of the electoral facts.
And how we reached what seems like an unusually grim and shambolic time in national life.
When forced to choose, people prefer a Boris Johnson government to a Corbyn government by a ten-point margin, down from 12 points last week.
And: the Conservatives hide their own manifesto away. The LibDems bungle theirs – which Prince Andrew wrecks anyway. Plus: election night line-ups.
The campaign feels better run, including online. People massively prefer Boris Johnson to Corbyn. The question is whether it is enough
Gimmicks and bribes are not the answer. Prosperity will be achieved if free entreprise is allowed to thrive.
Together with my weekly focus groups, it will help to explain the dynamics of the campaign and the factors that will determine the outcome.
Our answer is: a steady lead and a late wobble – to help get the vote out. He begins the second week on course.
The stereotype that working class voters simply want more money spent on them, without a way to sustainably pay for it, is mistaken.